The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. david senak now. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. Thats Changing. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. The data behind that evolution is striking. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. In the main event, former light Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. This is the first episode. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. By May 21, 2021 0 . COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. You can't imitate a worldview. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. robert kraft granddaughter. MANAGER'S SALARY. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. Thanks! The Supreme Court Not So Much. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. police- settlements. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. The State Of The Polls, 2016. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. Galen speaks with him. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. It's a busy week! The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. No products in the cart. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. Saturday, February 25, 2023. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". . The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." No place like 'Nam. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. 11:03 AM. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. ( Businessweek) They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. heritage commons university of utah. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. All rights reserved. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine.